Lemon Cove leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Lemon Cove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lemon Cove, ~15% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lemon Cove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lemon Cove leans more Republican than 24 of 35 neighbors.
Lemon Cove runs about 53 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Lemon Cove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lemon Cove. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Lemon Cove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lemon Cove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lemon Cove votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Lemon Cove runs about 53 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Lemon Cove sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Lemon Cove are family households, above 84% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Lemon Cove, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lemon Cove looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 4% of homes in Lemon Cove have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Lemon Cove sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lind Cove, CA R+39
- Woodlake, CA R+3
- Kaweah, CA R+14
- Toolville, CA R+64
- Exeter, CA R+39
- Three Rivers, CA R+7
- Ivanhoe, CA R+2
- Tonyville, CA R+19
- Farmersville, CA R+6
- Lindsay, CA R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Schuyler, NY R+33
- Daisy Hill, IN R+58
- Granada, CO R+57
- Tara, IA R+31
- Laws, CA R+22
- Merrimon, NC R+26
- Free Hope, AR R+49
- Servia, IN R+62
- Lovelaceville, KY R+66
- Waggoner, IL R+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.