Toolville is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Toolville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Toolville, ~10% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Toolville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Toolville is the most Republican-leaning.
Toolville runs about 84 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Toolville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Toolville. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Toolville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Toolville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Toolville votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Toolville runs about 84 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Toolville are family households, above 78% of cities.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Toolville, CA does.
Why turnout in Toolville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Toolville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Toolville rent, above 86% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Toolville report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Exeter, CA R+39
- Tonyville, CA R+19
- Farmersville, CA R+6
- Lind Cove, CA R+39
- Lindsay, CA R+5
- Lemon Cove, CA R+33
- Woodlake, CA R+3
- Ivanhoe, CA R+2
- Strathmore, CA R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Russell, VA R+68
- Wards, NC R+43
- Rumsey, KY R+60
- Lamar, OK R+70
- Farmington Falls, ME R+8
- Ellery, IL R+70
- Ringwood, NC D+65
- Long Bridge, LA R+27
- Grand Portage, MN D+28
- Mount Vernon Springs, NC R+36
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.