Lemon Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Lemon Grove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lemon Grove, ~10% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lemon Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lemon Grove is the most Republican-leaning.
Lemon Grove runs about 58 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lemon Grove. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 51 points.
Why Lemon Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lemon Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Lemon Grove live in densely developed areas, about 53 points below the Florida average of 57%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Lemon Grove are family households, above 94% of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Lemon Grove, FL does.
Why turnout in Lemon Grove looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lemon Grove is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wauchula, FL R+41
- Zolfo Springs, FL R+59
- Avon Park Lakes, FL R+53
- Torrey, FL R+39
- Bowling Green, FL R+43
- Crewsville, FL R+70
- Avon Park, FL R+22
- Highland Lakes, FL R+49
- Fort Meade, FL R+33
- Frostproof, FL R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Leisure, MI R+16
- Lenox Dale, MA D+39
- Opole, MN R+58
- Lottsburg, VA R+18
- Burgoon, OH R+51
- Okahumpka, FL R+44
- Maysville, PA R+44
- Drane, TX R+48
- St. Johns, ID R+80
- Green Valley, OH R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.