Little Canada, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Little Canada

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Little Canada leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.

 

About 75% of adults in Little Canada typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Canada, ~22% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Little Canada compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Little Canada leans more Republican than 73 of 127 neighbors.

Little Canada runs about 52 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Little Canada is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Little Canada leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Little Canada, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Little Canada votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Little Canada runs about 52 points more Republican.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Little Canada, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Little Canada looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Little Canada is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.