Stafford leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Stafford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stafford, ~27% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stafford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stafford leans more Republican than 58 of 129 neighbors.
Stafford runs about 46 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Stafford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Stafford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stafford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Stafford drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Stafford runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Stafford, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Stafford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stafford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roanoke, NY R+38
- Little Canada, NY R+39
- South Byron, NY R+36
- Le Roy, NY R+25
- Alabama, NY R+25
- Byron, NY R+39
- Batavia, NY R+13
- East Bethany, NY R+42
- Daws, NY R+28
- Stone Church, NY R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gadsden, SC D+64
- Poolville, TX R+72
- Winnebago, MN R+42
- Northport, MI D+10
- Dennis, TX R+77
- Eastgate, TX R+62
- Port Royal, TN R+50
- Cleveland, MN R+36
- Williamsburg, MA D+42
- Mulliken, MI R+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.