Batavia leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Batavia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Batavia, ~27% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Batavia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Batavia leans more Republican than 9 of 130 neighbors.
Batavia runs about 25 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Batavia is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Batavia. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Batavia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Batavia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Batavia votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 74%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Batavia runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Batavia, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Batavia looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 39% of households in Batavia rent, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alabama, NY R+25
- Daws, NY R+28
- Bushville, NY R+25
- Little Canada, NY R+39
- West Batavia, NY R+36
- Stafford, NY R+33
- Elba, NY R+44
- East Bethany, NY R+42
- Oakfield, NY R+41
- Alexander, NY R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Newton, KS R+25
- Hurricane, UT R+61
- Altus, OK R+41
- North Bellmore, NY R+16
- Temple, GA R+57
- Northampton, PA R+18
- North Massapequa, NY R+37
- Pottsville, PA R+24
- Highland, UT R+49
- Albert Lea, MN R+11
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.