Lockhart Flats is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Lockhart Flats typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lockhart Flats, ~13% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lockhart Flats compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lockhart Flats leans more Republican than 52 of 137 neighbors.
Lockhart Flats runs about 73 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lockhart Flats is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lockhart Flats leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lockhart Flats, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Lockhart Flats, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Lockhart Flats runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Lockhart Flats, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Lockhart Flats looks the way it does
Turnout in Lockhart Flats sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clintwood, VA R+63
- Flemingtown, VA R+65
- Omaha, VA R+66
- Isom, VA R+63
- Freeling, VA R+66
- Mc Clure, VA R+69
- Clinchco, VA R+66
- Norland, VA R+66
- Tivis, VA R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Minnewawa, MN R+40
- Wattenberg, CO R+30
- Waterville Valley, NH D+26
- Maxim, GA R+64
- Yale, IL R+67
- Dalton, AR R+72
- Dakota, GA R+72
- Hannastown, PA R+41
- Burchfield, AL R+83
- Merryall, PA R+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.