Lockhart leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Lockhart typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lockhart, ~25% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lockhart compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lockhart leans more Republican than 17 of 45 neighbors.
Politically, Lockhart sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lockhart. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Lockhart leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lockhart, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lockhart votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 39%, above 84% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lockhart, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Lockhart looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lockhart is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Lockhart rent, compared to around 11% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Seawillow, TX R+47
- Maxwell, TX R+13
- McMahan, TX R+55
- Fentress, TX R+28
- Dale, TX R+13
- Mendoza, TX R+11
- Lytton Springs, TX R+7
- Prairie Lea, TX R+34
- Tilmon, TX R+60
- Uhland, TX D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Perry, FL R+51
- South Ogden, UT R+13
- Farmingville, NY R+24
- North Palm Beach, FL R+24
- Lehighton, PA R+40
- Hopkinton, MA D+26
- Webster, MA Even
- Swansea, MA R+8
- Plain City, OH R+24
- Marysville, CA R+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.