Tilmon is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Tilmon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tilmon, ~13% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tilmon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tilmon leans more Republican than 32 of 46 neighbors.
Tilmon runs about 47 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tilmon. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Tilmon leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tilmon. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Tilmon, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Tilmon looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Tilmon own their home, about 20 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Tilmon sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Tilmon have completed high school, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McMahan, TX R+55
- Seawillow, TX R+47
- Saturn, TX R+64
- Taylorsville, TX R+50
- McNeil, TX R+49
- Lockhart, TX R+12
- Harwood, TX R+61
- Luling, TX R+17
- Sandy Fork, TX R+53
- Jeddo, TX R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Williamson, IA R+52
- Bridgeport, NJ R+26
- Point Clear, AL R+34
- Garbutt, NY R+17
- Lewis, GA R+45
- Raybon, GA R+74
- Clinton Falls, IN R+62
- Western, NE R+58
- Hillsville, PA R+47
- Sand Springs, KY R+78
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.