Mendoza leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Mendoza typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mendoza, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mendoza compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mendoza leans more Republican than 22 of 51 neighbors.
Politically, Mendoza sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mendoza. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+31) and the northeast side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Mendoza leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mendoza, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Mendoza hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Texas average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Mendoza are family households, above 89% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mendoza, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mendoza looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mendoza is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 8 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 69% of adults in Mendoza have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mustang Ridge, TX D+3
- Niederwald, TX Even
- Lytton Springs, TX R+7
- Dale, TX R+13
- Elroy, TX D+7
- Uhland, TX D+3
- Lockhart, TX R+12
- Creedmoor, TX D+29
- Buda, TX Even
- Kyle, TX D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- San Pierre, IN R+55
- Penney Farms, FL R+52
- Yatesville, GA R+66
- Losantville, IN R+57
- Yawkey, WV R+67
- Hoffman, MN R+43
- Penns Creek, PA R+69
- Houck, AZ D+51
- Harviell, MO R+74
- Dundas, IL R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.