Long Branch Creek is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Long Branch Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Long Branch Creek, ~52% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Long Branch Creek compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Long Branch Creek leans more Democratic than 26 of 48 neighbors.
Long Branch Creek runs about 53 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Long Branch Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Long Branch Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Long Branch Creek live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Long Branch Creek sits in the top quarter (about 65%, above 86% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in Long Branch Creek have never been married, above 86% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Long Branch Creek, Arlington, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Long Branch Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Long Branch Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Nauck, Arlington, VA D+67
- Arlington Ridge, Arlington, VA D+60
- North Ridge Rosemont, Alexandria, VA D+56
- Columbia Heghts, Arlington, VA D+61
- Fairlington-Shirlington, Arlington, VA D+64
- Aurora Highlands, Arlington, VA D+61
- Potomac West, Alexandria, VA D+60
- Douglas Park, Arlington, VA D+53
- Penrose, Arlington, VA D+58
- Crystal City, Arlington, VA D+59
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Jeff Davis, Richmond, VA D+58
- Wachter's, Bismarck, ND R+18
- Carver, Waco, TX D+60
- Kingsley, Buffalo, NY D+84
- Ghent Square, Norfolk, VA D+39
- Mesa Junction, Pueblo, CO D+27
- University North, Fort Collins, CO D+59
- East Westwood, Cincinnati, OH D+80
- Westchester, Charlotte, NC D+72
- Downtown, Wilmington, DE D+83
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.