Machipongo, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Machipongo

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Machipongo is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.

 

About 69% of adults in Machipongo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Machipongo, ~34% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Machipongo compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Machipongo sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 36 leaning the other way.

Machipongo runs about 7 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Machipongo. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Machipongo leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Machipongo. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Income per capita and voter turnout

Places with high per-capita income tend to turn out at a higher rate; Machipongo, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Machipongo looks the way it does

Turnout in Machipongo sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.