Manhattan Beach leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Manhattan Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manhattan Beach, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manhattan Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manhattan Beach leans more Republican than 8 of 32 neighbors.
Manhattan Beach runs about 33 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Manhattan Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Manhattan Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manhattan Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manhattan Beach votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Manhattan Beach runs about 33 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Manhattan Beach, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Manhattan Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Manhattan Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Manhattan Beach own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Swanburg, MN R+31
- Fifty Lakes, MN R+28
- Crosslake, MN R+27
- Emily, MN R+31
- Breezy Point, MN R+33
- Outing, MN R+36
- Pequot Lakes, MN R+33
- Pine River, MN R+41
- Mission, MN R+32
- Chickamaw Beach, MN R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zahl, ND R+74
- Floriston, CA D+5
- Gwin, MS D+66
- Ramah, TN R+77
- Redbird, NE R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.