Manheim Center leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Manheim Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manheim Center, ~18% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manheim Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manheim Center leans more Republican than 73 of 107 neighbors.
Manheim Center runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Manheim Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Manheim Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manheim Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Manheim Center, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the New York average of 34%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Manheim Center are family households, above 92% of cities. Manheim Center runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Manheim Center, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Manheim Center looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in Manheim Center own their home, about 24 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dolgeville, NY R+32
- Little Falls, NY R+21
- Ingham Mills, NY R+51
- Indian Castle, NY R+46
- Newville, NY R+47
- Jacksonburg, NY R+42
- Oppenheim, NY R+52
- Salisbury Center, NY R+45
- Mindenville, NY R+46
- St. Johnsville, NY R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wyoming, NE R+54
- Alleene, AR R+75
- Hereford, WV R+67
- Witoka, MN R+22
- South Newfane, VT D+33
- Ranchito, NM D+46
- Laneport, TX R+60
- Mitchell, WV R+63
- Elvira, IL R+54
- Raymondville, NY R+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.