Maple Grove leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Maple Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Maple Grove, ~26% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Maple Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Maple Grove leans more Republican than 73 of 99 neighbors.
Maple Grove runs about 35 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Maple Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Maple Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Maple Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Maple Grove votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Maple Grove runs about 35 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Maple Grove are family households, above 78% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Maple Grove, VA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Maple Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Maple Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Monroe Hall, VA R+29
- Colonial Beach, VA R+26
- Shiloh, VA R+37
- Oak Grove, VA R+29
- Dahlgren, VA R+15
- Welcome, VA R+38
- Office Hall, VA R+14
- Issue, MD R+29
- Leedstown, VA R+12
- King George, VA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vilas, FL R+36
- Thomas Mountain, CA R+17
- Rural Hill, NY R+34
- Wadena, IN R+54
- Tilly, AR R+65
- Bon Air Terrace, SC Even
- Oshawa, MN R+39
- South Bridgton, ME R+15
- Morning Star, MS D+19
- Haigler, NE R+75
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.