Maple Leaf is a Democratic stronghold. About 89% of voters here vote Democratic and 11% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Maple Leaf typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Maple Leaf, ~68% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Maple Leaf compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Maple Leaf leans more Democratic than 28 of 35 neighbors.
Maple Leaf runs about 60 points more Democratic than Washington as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Maple Leaf. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+87) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+72), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Maple Leaf leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Maple Leaf, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 74% of adults in Maple Leaf hold a bachelor's degree, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Maple Leaf, Seattle, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Maple Leaf looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Maple Leaf is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Maple Leaf have completed high school, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Pine Hills, Albany, NY D+62
- Martin Luther King, Austin, TX D+64
- Congress Heights, Washington, DC D+86
- Home Park, Atlanta, GA D+60
- South Semoran, Orlando, FL D+13
- South Ironbound, Newark, NJ D+25
- Park Hills, Yonkers, NY D+28
- Harmony Village, Detroit, MI D+87
- South Redlands, Redlands, CA Even
- Morningside-Lenox Park, Atlanta, GA D+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.