Marcola leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Marcola typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marcola, ~28% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marcola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marcola leans more Republican than 11 of 36 neighbors.
Marcola runs about 35 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Marcola is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Marcola leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marcola, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Marcola live in densely developed areas, about 27 points below the Oregon average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Marcola are family households, above 94% of cities. Marcola runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Marcola, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Marcola looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Marcola is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crawfordsville, OR R+46
- Union Point, OR R+47
- Walterville, OR R+9
- Coburg, OR D+2
- Springfield, OR D+8
- Sweet Home, OR R+40
- Brownsville, OR R+37
- Pleasant Hill, OR R+15
- Harrisburg, OR R+49
- Liberty, OR R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Blue Lake, CA D+34
- Phoenix, IL D+81
- Rapid River, MI R+33
- Westerlo, NY R+23
- North Anson, ME R+33
- Berry Creek, CA R+30
- Hornbeck, LA R+89
- Kenduskeag, ME R+34
- Hackensack, MN R+31
- Minturn, CO D+29
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.