Marshall County is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Marshall County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marshall County, ~31% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marshall County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Marshall County leans more Republican than 4 of 14 neighbors.
Marshall County runs about 20 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Marshall County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+55) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+45), a spread of about 100 points.
Why Marshall County leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Marshall County. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Marshall County, MS does.
Why turnout in Marshall County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Marshall County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Benton County, MS R+26
- DeSoto County, MS R+15
- Tate County, MS R+35
- Fayette County, TN R+33
- Shelby County, TN D+40
- Lafayette County, MS R+16
- Tippah County, MS R+61
- Union County, MS R+63
- Panola County, MS Even
- Hardeman County, TN R+14
Counties with Similar Populations
- Wakulla County, FL R+46
- Pulaski County, VA R+43
- Seneca County, NY R+18
- Wexford County, MI R+33
- Stark County, ND R+53
- Fulton County, IL R+31
- Botetourt County, VA R+45
- Lee County, IA R+27
- DeSoto County, FL R+35
- Morrison County, MN R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.