Marshall leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Marshall typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marshall, ~19% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marshall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marshall leans more Republican than 2 of 8 neighbors.
Marshall runs about 7 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Marshall. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 55 points.
Why Marshall leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Marshall. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Marshall, ND sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Marshall looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Marshall sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dunn Center, ND R+76
- Killdeer, ND R+36
- Werner, ND R+71
- Halliday, ND R+69
- Twin Buttes, ND R+26
- Manning, ND R+77
- Mandaree, ND D+29
- Dodge, ND R+74
- Golden Valley, ND R+76
- Grassy Butte, ND R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yellow Rock, KY R+66
- Youngs, MS R+42
- Timpas, CO R+38
- Moons, TN R+68
- Cascade-Chipita Park, CO D+3
- Ridgeview, IN R+45
- Beverly, KY R+73
- Tippecanoe, PA R+48
- Monticello, NM R+38
- Payne, MN R+11
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.