Monticello leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Monticello typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monticello, ~30% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monticello compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Monticello is the least Republican-leaning.
Monticello runs about 44 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Monticello is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Monticello. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Monticello leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monticello, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Monticello votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Monticello runs about 44 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Monticello sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Monticello, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Monticello looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Monticello have completed high school, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Monticello sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cuchillo, NM R+45
- Winston, NM R+43
- Elephant Butte, NM R+42
- Truth Or Consequences, NM R+3
- Williamsburg, NM R+21
- Hot Springs Landing, NM R+45
- Caballo, NM R+36
- Hillsboro, NM R+20
- Arrey, NM R+22
- San Antonio, NM R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yellow Rock, KY R+66
- Youngs, MS R+42
- Cascade-Chipita Park, CO D+3
- Timpas, CO R+38
- Tippecanoe, PA R+48
- Savah, IN R+50
- Rosecrans, WI R+45
- Bogota, TN R+76
- Ridgeview, IN R+45
- Primrose, IA R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.