Maryland leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Maryland typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Maryland, ~24% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Maryland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Maryland leans more Republican than 63 of 114 neighbors.
Maryland runs about 40 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Maryland is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Maryland. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Maryland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Maryland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Maryland votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Maryland runs about 40 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Maryland, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Maryland looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Maryland is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Maryland have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Portlandville, NY R+24
- Cooperstown Junction, NY R+27
- Colliersville, NY R+28
- Milford Center, NY R+24
- Milford, NY R+17
- Davenport Center, NY R+26
- Schenevus, NY R+27
- Davenport, NY R+28
- Westville, NY R+9
- Simpsonville, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Noxapater, MS R+29
- Richburg, SC R+30
- Victory Gardens, NJ D+19
- Stony Creek, VA Even
- Minatare, NE R+65
- Cedar Key, FL R+49
- Bucoda, WA R+29
- Williamsport, OH R+56
- Union, IL R+22
- Rainbow, TX R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.