Victory Gardens leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 38% of adults in Victory Gardens typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Victory Gardens, ~22% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Victory Gardens compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Victory Gardens leans more Democratic than 198 of 236 neighbors.
Victory Gardens runs about 13 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.
Why Victory Gardens leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Victory Gardens, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Victory Gardens live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in Victory Gardens have never been married, above 94% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Victory Gardens, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Victory Gardens looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 67% of households in Victory Gardens rent, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in Victory Gardens have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Victory Gardens have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dover, NJ D+11
- Randolph, NJ D+7
- Mine Hill, NJ R+3
- Wharton, NJ Even
- Denville, NJ Even
- Rockaway, NJ R+5
- Mount Tabor, NJ D+5
- Morris Plains, NJ D+11
- Kenvil, NJ R+13
- Hurdtown, NJ R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Noxapater, MS R+29
- Maryland, NY R+27
- Richburg, SC R+30
- Stony Creek, VA Even
- Barry, IL R+55
- Minatare, NE R+65
- Cedar Key, FL R+49
- Rainbow, TX R+66
- Honouliuli, HI D+2
- Union, IL R+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.