Mather is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Mather typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mather, ~31% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mather compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mather sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 42 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 19 leaning the other way.
Mather runs about 18 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Mather leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mather. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mather, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mather looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Mather have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Mather rent, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rancho Cordova, CA D+10
- Rosemont, CA D+21
- La Riviera, CA D+30
- Gold River, CA D+16
- Carmichael, CA D+11
- Vineyard, CA D+12
- Arden-Arcade, CA D+25
- Fair Oaks, CA D+6
- Florin, CA D+25
- Lemon Hill, CA D+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aromas, CA D+12
- North Beach, MD R+4
- Hewitt, NJ R+22
- St. James, MN R+24
- Taft, TX R+13
- West Portsmouth, OH R+54
- Mondovi, WI R+32
- New Hempstead, NY R+33
- North Sea, NY D+7
- Nebo, GA R+29
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.