Arden-Arcade, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Arden-Arcade

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Arden-Arcade leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Arden-Arcade typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arden-Arcade, ~37% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Arden-Arcade compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Arden-Arcade leans more Democratic than 54 of 60 neighbors.

Arden-Arcade runs about 5 points more Democratic than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arden-Arcade. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 22 points.

Why Arden-Arcade leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arden-Arcade, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Arden-Arcade live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Arden-Arcade sits in the top quarter (about 37%, above 85% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Arden-Arcade have never been married, above 88% of cities.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Arden-Arcade, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Arden-Arcade looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 54% of households in Arden-Arcade rent, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 10% of homes in Arden-Arcade have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.