Mayville leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Mayville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayville, ~24% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayville leans more Republican than 29 of 61 neighbors.
Mayville runs about 41 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Mayville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Mayville drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mayville fits that profile on both counts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Mayville, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Mayville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Mayville own their home, about 9 points above the Michigan average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Dayton, MI R+48
- Silverwood, MI R+48
- Fostoria, MI R+48
- Wahjamega, MI R+43
- Otter Lake, MI R+40
- Millington, MI R+41
- Caro, MI R+36
- Kingston, MI R+51
- Watrousville, MI R+47
- Vassar, MI R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Port Ewen, NY Even
- Long Beach, WA Even
- Lake Katrine, NY Even
- Willis, MI R+13
- Cottage Hills, IL R+24
- Arcade, NY R+44
- George West, TX R+54
- Campton, KY R+56
- St. Leo, FL R+15
- Falconer, NY R+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.