Melbourne Beach leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Melbourne Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Melbourne Beach, ~30% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Melbourne Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Melbourne Beach leans more Republican than 14 of 22 neighbors.
Melbourne Beach runs about 14 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Melbourne Beach. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Melbourne Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Melbourne Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Melbourne Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, far below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Melbourne Beach, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Melbourne Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Melbourne Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Melbourne Beach have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Malabar, FL R+40
- Grant-Valkaria, FL R+41
- Palm Bay, FL R+10
- Indialantic, FL R+21
- Micco, FL R+29
- West Melbourne, FL R+21
- Melbourne Village, FL R+29
- Indian Harbour Beach, FL R+26
- Roseland, FL R+41
- Satellite Beach, FL R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wood River, IL R+20
- Cardiff By The Sea, CA D+27
- West Point, UT R+43
- Baker City, OR R+36
- Price, UT R+50
- Andover, NJ R+23
- Ridgefield, NJ Even
- Sun Village, CA D+4
- Litchfield, NH R+4
- Amityville, NY R+7
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.