Miami leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Miami typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Miami, ~27% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Miami compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Miami leans more Republican than 4 of 11 neighbors.
Miami runs about 9 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Miami. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Miami leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Miami. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Miami, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Miami looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Miami is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Claypool, AZ R+25
- Globe, AZ R+33
- Midland City, AZ R+6
- Top-of-the-World, AZ R+52
- Little Acres, AZ R+10
- Superior, AZ D+8
- Roosevelt, AZ R+40
- Kelvin, AZ R+38
- Kearny, AZ R+35
- Queen Valley, AZ R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Accident, MD R+50
- Springfield, SC D+12
- Coon Valley, WI R+20
- Welling, OK R+40
- Clio, SC D+29
- Blackduck, MN R+49
- Tonka Bay, MN D+16
- Wausau, FL R+71
- Sunset Beach, CA R+15
- Carson, VA R+28
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.