North Pawlet leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 79% of adults in North Pawlet typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Pawlet, ~35% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Pawlet compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Pawlet leans more Republican than 38 of 93 neighbors.
North Pawlet runs about 42 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while North Pawlet is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why North Pawlet leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Pawlet, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Pawlet votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while North Pawlet runs about 42 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; North Pawlet, VT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in North Pawlet looks the way it does
Turnout in North Pawlet sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wells, VT R+23
- West Pawlet, VT R+6
- Pawlet, VT R+16
- South Granville, NY R+37
- Granville, NY R+36
- South Poultney, VT R+24
- Slateville, NY R+26
- Middle Granville, NY R+42
- Slyboro, NY R+42
- Middletown Springs, VT R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Westover Hills, VA R+5
- Bowen, KY R+64
- Cuba, KS R+67
- Hancocks Bridge, NJ R+55
- Kehoe, KY R+67
- Mumford, TX R+55
- Bluffton, GA D+8
- Board Camp, AR R+64
- Blankston, LA R+48
- Crewsville, FL R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.