Midland County leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Midland County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midland County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midland County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Midland County leans more Republican than 1 of 6 neighbors.
Midland County runs about 34 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Midland County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Midland County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midland County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midland County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 78%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Midland County, TX does.
Why turnout in Midland County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Midland County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Midland County have completed high school, below 81% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Ector County, TX R+42
- Martin County, TX R+68
- Andrews County, TX R+62
- Glasscock County, TX R+85
- Howard County, TX R+50
- Crane County, TX R+48
- Dawson County, TX R+47
- Ward County, TX R+56
- Upton County, TX R+58
- Winkler County, TX R+59
Counties with Similar Populations
- Pitt County, NC D+17
- Kent County, RI D+5
- Wyandotte County, KS D+26
- Kenosha County, WI Even
- Kenton County, KY R+14
- McLean County, IL D+5
- Davidson County, NC R+36
- Aiken County, SC R+24
- Paulding County, GA R+20
- Kootenai County, ID R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.