Upton County is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Upton County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upton County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Upton County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Upton County is the most Republican-leaning.
Upton County runs about 44 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Upton County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Upton County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upton County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Upton County hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Texas average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Upton County drive to work alone, above 96% of counties. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 72% of households in Upton County are family households, above 85% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Upton County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Upton County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Upton County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Crane County, TX R+48
- Reagan County, TX R+55
- Pecos County, TX R+28
- Ector County, TX R+42
- Ward County, TX R+56
- Midland County, TX R+48
- Glasscock County, TX R+85
- Crockett County, TX R+39
- Martin County, TX R+68
- Terrell County, TX R+65
Counties with Similar Populations
- Granite County, MT R+38
- Concho County, TX R+71
- Emmons County, ND R+70
- Coke County, TX R+72
- Harper County, OK R+80
- Knox County, TX R+66
- Donley County, TX R+66
- Traverse County, MN R+42
- Tyrrell County, NC R+12
- Sutton County, TX R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.