Midtown, Little Rock, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Midtown

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Midtown leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.

 

About 72% of adults in Midtown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown, ~48% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Midtown compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown leans more Democratic than 4 of 13 neighbors.

Midtown runs about 62 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Midtown is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Midtown. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 20 points.

Why Midtown leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midtown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Midtown votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Midtown runs about 62 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Midtown sits in the top quarter (about 66%, above 87% of neighborhoods).

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Midtown, Little Rock, AR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Midtown looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Midtown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Midtown have completed high school, above 83% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.