Walnut Valley, Little Rock, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Walnut Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Walnut Valley leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.

 

About 47% of adults in Walnut Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Valley, ~34% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Walnut Valley compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Walnut Valley leans more Democratic than 7 of 13 neighbors.

Walnut Valley runs about 74 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Walnut Valley is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Walnut Valley. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+52) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 39 points.

Why Walnut Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Walnut Valley votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Walnut Valley runs about 74 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in Walnut Valley have never been married, above 83% of neighborhoods.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Walnut Valley, Little Rock, AR sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Walnut Valley looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 69% of households in Walnut Valley rent, about 44 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.