Midway leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Midway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway, ~51% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midway leans more Democratic than 25 of 32 neighbors.
Midway runs about 48 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Midway is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Midway. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+69) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+39), a spread of about 108 points.
Why Midway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midway votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Midway runs about 48 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in Midway have never been married, above 95% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Midway, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Midway looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Midway is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Scotland, FL R+24
- Gibson, FL Even
- Shady Rest, FL D+47
- Quincy, FL D+45
- Havana, FL Even
- Vilas, FL R+36
- Tallahassee, FL D+29
- Douglas City, FL D+36
- Hinson, FL Even
- Wakulla Springs, FL D+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Earlysville, VA D+9
- Poynette, WI R+17
- Margaret, AL R+53
- Homestead Meadows North, TX Even
- Eureka Springs, AR R+39
- Chisholm, MN Even
- Shermans Dale, PA R+56
- Scandia, MN R+20
- Ravenel, SC Even
- Windsor, PA R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.