Midway leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Midway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway, ~23% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midway leans more Republican than 16 of 43 neighbors.
Midway runs about 30 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Midway. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Midway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Midway, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Iowa average of 24%.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Midway, IA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midway looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Midway have completed high school, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Charles City, IA R+20
- Nashua, IA R+44
- Chickasaw, IA R+44
- Powersville, IA R+52
- Ionia, IA R+44
- Colwell, IA R+44
- Floyd, IA R+44
- North Washington, IA R+46
- Marble Rock, IA R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rock Hill, AL R+49
- Economy, AR R+72
- Otto, NY R+44
- Woolford, MD R+51
- North Monroeville, OH R+53
- New Dixie, AR R+58
- Nason, MS R+38
- Salladasburg, PA R+66
- Parks, AR R+74
- Rio, LA R+82
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.