Mineral Spring is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Mineral Spring typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mineral Spring, ~14% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mineral Spring compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mineral Spring leans more Republican than 31 of 65 neighbors.
Mineral Spring runs about 44 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mineral Spring. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+54), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Mineral Spring leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mineral Spring, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Mineral Spring live in densely developed areas, about 18 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mineral Spring sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Mineral Spring, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mineral Spring looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Mineral Spring own their home, about 13 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chain-O-Lakes, MO R+65
- Hailey, MO R+63
- Cassville, MO R+60
- Star City, MO R+66
- Cato, MO R+68
- Jenkins, MO R+71
- Emerald Beach, MO R+59
- Butterfield, MO R+68
- Eagle Rock, MO R+62
- Leann, MO R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Prairie City, IL R+55
- Wrightsville, VT D+22
- Lake Wissota, WI R+20
- Lower Marlboro, MD R+23
- Browns Crossroads, AL R+87
- Florence, SD R+57
- Minnetonka Beach, MN Even
- Lone Wolf, OK R+67
- Eccles, WV R+58
- Kings Creek, SC R+75
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.