Minot Afb, ND Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Minot Afb

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Minot Afb leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in Minot Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Minot Afb, ~18% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Minot Afb compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Minot Afb is the least Republican-leaning.

Minot Afb runs about 15 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Minot Afb. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 52 points.

Why Minot Afb leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Minot Afb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Minot Afb votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 80%, far above the North Dakota average of 12%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Minot Afb are family households, above 93% of cities.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Minot Afb, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Minot Afb looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 98% of households in Minot Afb rent, about 73 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 99% of adults in Minot Afb have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.