Monclova leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 95% of adults in Monclova typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monclova, ~37% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monclova compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Monclova leans more Republican than 14 of 94 neighbors.
Monclova runs about 11 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Monclova. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Monclova leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monclova, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Monclova votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 36%, above 83% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Monclova are family households, above 88% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Monclova, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Monclova looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Monclova is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Monclova own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Monclova have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whitehouse, OH R+25
- Waterville, OH R+16
- Maumee, OH R+3
- Holland, OH R+3
- Swanton, OH R+36
- Haskins, OH R+28
- Perrysburg, OH R+7
- Neapolis, OH R+39
- Brailey, OH R+43
- Richfield Center, OH R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Green Lane, PA R+26
- McConnelsville, OH R+51
- Ava, MO R+67
- Kalona, IA R+33
- Lavaca, AR R+65
- West Liberty, OH R+56
- Thomasville, PA R+49
- Elk, WA R+43
- Hollis Center, ME R+30
- Lanesville, IN R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.