Monroe leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Monroe typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monroe, ~23% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monroe compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Monroe leans more Republican than 39 of 77 neighbors.
Monroe runs about 47 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Monroe is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Monroe. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Monroe leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monroe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Monroe votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Monroe runs about 47 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Monroe, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Monroe looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Monroe own their home, about 14 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Elon, VA R+43
- Pedlar Mills, VA R+48
- Sweet Briar, VA R+25
- Coolwell, VA R+44
- Madison Heights, VA R+27
- Pleasant View, VA R+49
- Amherst, VA R+34
- Naola, VA R+48
- Coleman Falls, VA R+37
- Waugh, VA R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carrollton, IL R+57
- Soso, MS R+51
- Ponce de Leon, FL R+70
- Ranburne, AL R+89
- Rush, NY Even
- Madison Park, NJ D+17
- Moline, MI R+40
- Eldora, IA R+39
- Weldon, TX R+37
- Milford, ME R+32
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.