Monterey leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Monterey typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monterey, ~16% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monterey compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Monterey leans more Republican than 23 of 59 neighbors.
Monterey runs about 6 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Monterey. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+77), a spread of about 82 points.
Why Monterey leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monterey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Monterey hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Monterey sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Monterey, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Monterey looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Monterey is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Monterey rent, above 89% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Monterey report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Weona Junction, AR R+74
- Joyland, AR R+75
- Birdeye, AR R+71
- Cherry Valley, AR R+70
- Whitaker, AR R+73
- Three Forks, AR R+23
- Harrisburg, AR R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Austin Junction, OR R+57
- Lorenton, PA R+66
- Taplin, WV R+65
- St. Peter, KS R+76
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.