Harrisburg is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Harrisburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harrisburg, ~10% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harrisburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harrisburg leans more Republican than 27 of 54 neighbors.
Harrisburg runs about 38 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Harrisburg. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+77) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+64), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Harrisburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harrisburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Harrisburg hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Developed land, local retail density, and voter turnout
Places that combine a heavily developed built environment and sparse local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Harrisburg, AR does.
Why turnout in Harrisburg looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Harrisburg is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in Harrisburg rent, above 81% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 87% of adults in Harrisburg have completed high school, below 73% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whitaker, AR R+73
- Weona Junction, AR R+74
- Promised Land, AR R+72
- Shady Grove, AR R+74
- Monterey, AR R+37
- Maple Grove, AR R+62
- Stacy, AR R+54
- Weiner, AR R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Manitou Springs, CO D+23
- Lindale, GA R+63
- Fort Mc Coy, FL R+61
- Ossian, IN R+54
- Red Bud, IL R+51
- Wellsville, UT R+56
- Daytona Beach Shores, FL R+18
- Roslyn, NY D+7
- Hoopeston, IL R+33
- Angola, NY R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.