Three Forks leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Three Forks typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Three Forks, ~21% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Three Forks compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Three Forks leans more Republican than 22 of 63 neighbors.
Three Forks runs about 8 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Three Forks. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+44), a spread of about 73 points.
Why Three Forks leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Three Forks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 4% of adults in Three Forks hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Three Forks sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Three Forks are family households, above 91% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Three Forks, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Three Forks looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Three Forks is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Three Forks report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Earle, AR D+50
- Joyland, AR R+75
- Lansing, AR D+15
- Deckerville, AR R+59
- Turrell, AR R+21
- Norvell, AR D+33
- Gilmore, AR R+4
- Tyronza, AR R+65
- Crawfordsville, AR R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Meigs, OH R+61
- Mc Intosh, ND R+15
- Shortleaf, AL D+11
- Bear Mountain, NY R+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.