Morganton is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Morganton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Morganton, ~8% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Morganton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Morganton leans more Republican than 37 of 62 neighbors.
Morganton runs about 37 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Morganton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Morganton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Morganton hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Morganton, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Morganton looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 35% of households in Morganton rent, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Morganton sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Morganton have more than one occupant per room, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bee Branch, AR R+69
- Southside, AR R+68
- Whipple, AR R+69
- Fairbanks, AR R+70
- Gravesville, AR R+72
- Damascus, AR R+66
- Formosa, AR R+66
- Clinton, AR R+63
- Culpeper, AR R+69
- Fairfield Bay, AR R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Taconite, MN R+30
- Richardson, IL R+33
- Ivy, VA D+13
- Dexter, KS R+74
- Irwin, OH R+58
- Orleans, OR R+13
- Briarcliffe Acres, SC R+27
- Russellville, SC R+33
- Theressa, FL R+65
- Elmwood Park, WI D+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.