Morning Star is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Morning Star typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Morning Star, ~17% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Morning Star compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Morning Star leans more Republican than 68 of 81 neighbors.
Morning Star runs about 59 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Morning Star is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Morning Star. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+56) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Morning Star leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Morning Star, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Morning Star votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Morning Star runs about 59 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Morning Star are family households, above 93% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Morning Star, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Morning Star looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Morning Star own their home, about 15 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Skyland, VA R+56
- Luray, VA R+45
- Rileyville, VA R+48
- Mauck, VA R+63
- Sperryville, VA R+15
- Hamburg, VA R+52
- Stanley, VA R+61
- Woodville, VA R+3
- Etlan, VA R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Collegeport, TX R+60
- Nash, OK R+70
- Parkerfield, KS R+54
- Partridge, KY R+73
- Gasconade, MO R+60
- North Springfield, PA R+36
- Green River, VT D+22
- Gravel Hill, AL R+37
- Rowdy, KY R+62
- North Newport, NH R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.