Moultrie County is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Moultrie County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moultrie County, ~18% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moultrie County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Moultrie County leans more Republican than 9 of 14 neighbors.
Moultrie County runs about 65 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Moultrie County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Moultrie County. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Moultrie County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moultrie County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Moultrie County, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Illinois average of 27%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Moultrie County are family households, above 84% of counties. Moultrie County runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Moultrie County, IL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Moultrie County looks the way it does
Turnout in Moultrie County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Shelby County, IL R+58
- Douglas County, IL R+48
- Coles County, IL R+26
- Macon County, IL R+8
- Piatt County, IL R+35
- Cumberland County, IL R+60
- Christian County, IL R+45
- Effingham County, IL R+56
- Champaign County, IL D+29
- De Witt County, IL R+43
Counties with Similar Populations
- San Juan County, UT R+19
- Carbon County, WY R+57
- Jefferson County, FL R+20
- Cannon County, TN R+69
- Clay County, AR R+62
- Las Animas County, CO R+13
- Fulton County, PA R+70
- Livingston County, MO R+52
- Mills County, IA R+33
- Harrison County, OH R+56
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.