Mount Airy leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Mount Airy typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Airy, ~29% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Airy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Airy leans more Republican than 9 of 77 neighbors.
Mount Airy runs about 20 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mount Airy is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mount Airy. The east side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+50), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Mount Airy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Airy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Mount Airy drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mount Airy sits in the bottom quarter (about 8%, below 96% of cities). Mount Airy runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Mount Airy, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Mount Airy looks the way it does
Turnout in Mount Airy sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Renan, VA R+33
- Hermosa, VA R+5
- Greenfield, VA R+51
- Riceville, VA D+4
- Java, VA R+2
- Straightstone, VA R+18
- Leda, VA R+7
- Gretna, VA R+36
- Level Run, VA R+46
- Stovall, VA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Red Gum, LA R+67
- Smith, SC R+13
- Rugby, IL R+52
- Lysite, WY R+76
- South Danville, VT D+6
- Kemmererville, PA R+22
- Violet, NC R+61
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.