Mount Carmel is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Mount Carmel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Carmel, ~16% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Carmel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Carmel leans more Republican than 34 of 44 neighbors.
Mount Carmel runs about 44 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Why Mount Carmel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Carmel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Mount Carmel drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mount Carmel, IA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mount Carmel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mount Carmel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Mount Carmel have completed high school, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maple River, IA R+55
- Breda, IA R+60
- Lidderdale, IA R+57
- Auburn, IA R+57
- Carroll, IA R+34
- Ulmer, IA R+57
- Carnarvon, IA R+63
- Arcadia, IA R+60
- Lanesboro, IA R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Deerfield Street, NJ R+32
- Jamaica, IA R+42
- Dragoon, AZ R+49
- Whitesville, IN R+60
- Medimont, ID R+57
- Gilman, WV R+53
- Huron, WI R+45
- East Hubbardton, VT R+14
- Alledonia, OH R+67
- Lakeville, MI R+33
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.