Mount Carmel Junction is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Mount Carmel Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Carmel Junction, ~12% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Carmel Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Carmel Junction leans more Republican than 12 of 14 neighbors.
Mount Carmel Junction runs about 47 points more Republican than Utah as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mount Carmel Junction. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Mount Carmel Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Carmel Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in Mount Carmel Junction are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Mount Carmel Junction sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 98% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mount Carmel Junction, UT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mount Carmel Junction looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mount Carmel Junction is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Mount Carmel Junction own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orderville, UT R+72
- Kanab, UT R+57
- Mount Carmel, UT R+60
- Glendale, UT R+71
- Fredonia, AZ R+48
- Kaibab, AZ R+52
- Alton, UT R+51
- Springdale, UT R+54
- Hildale, UT R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wyman, ME R+26
- Winona, MI R+19
- Wateree, SC D+32
- Wayne Center, IL D+10
- North Hughes, AR D+26
- Petersburg, WI R+36
- Linwood, AL R+48
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.