Mustang-Padre Island leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Mustang-Padre Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mustang-Padre Island, ~25% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mustang-Padre Island compares
Mustang-Padre Island runs about 25 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Mustang-Padre Island leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mustang-Padre Island, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and Mustang-Padre Island sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Mustang-Padre Island are family households, above 76% of neighborhoods.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Mustang-Padre Island, Corpus Christi, TX does.
Why turnout in Mustang-Padre Island looks the way it does
Turnout in Mustang-Padre Island sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Flour Bluff, Corpus Christi, TX R+31
- South Side, Corpus Christi, TX R+5
- Bay Area, Corpus Christi, TX Even
- Central City, Corpus Christi, TX D+20
- Northwest Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX R+21
- Calallen, Corpus Christi, TX R+36
- San Pedro, Robstown, TX D+19
- Enfield Estates, Edinburg, TX R+2
- West Sharyland, Mission, TX R+3
- La Homa, Mission, TX R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Rancho del Rey, Chula Vista, CA D+15
- Duboce Triangle, San Francisco, CA D+83
- Bethel Welborn, Kansas City, KS D+41
- Brookline Village Commercial District, Brookline, MA D+76
- Merriman Valley, Akron, OH D+31
- Day Square, Boston, MA D+43
- Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Santo Nino, Laredo, TX D+7
- West Central, Spokane, WA D+32
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.