Bay Area is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Bay Area typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Area, ~28% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Area compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bay Area sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 1 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Bay Area runs about 14 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bay Area. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Bay Area leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bay Area. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Uninsured rate and voter turnout
Places with a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bay Area, Corpus Christi, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Insurance coverage does not directly drive turnout; it reflects the income and stability that line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bay Area looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bay Area is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Side, Corpus Christi, TX R+5
- Central City, Corpus Christi, TX D+20
- Flour Bluff, Corpus Christi, TX R+31
- Mustang-Padre Island, Corpus Christi, TX R+38
- Northwest Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX R+21
- Calallen, Corpus Christi, TX R+36
- San Pedro, Robstown, TX D+19
- Enfield Estates, Edinburg, TX R+2
- West Sharyland, Mission, TX R+3
- La Homa, Mission, TX R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Far North, Columbus, OH D+26
- Unionport, Bronx, NY D+39
- Far West, Fort Worth, TX R+23
- Capitol Hill, Seattle, WA D+79
- Rancho Bernadino, San Diego, CA D+16
- Pacific, Stockton, CA D+24
- University, Columbus, OH D+56
- Morningside Heights, Manhattan, NY D+76
- Oak Cliff, Dallas, TX D+38
- West Side, Newark, NJ D+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.