Oak Hill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Oak Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Hill, ~37% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Hill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Oak Hill leans more Democratic than 20 of 21 neighbors.
Oak Hill runs about 44 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Oak Hill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Oak Hill. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Oak Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Hill votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Oak Hill runs about 44 points more Democratic. Rural majority-Black areas vote Democratic, and about 48% of residents in Oak Hill are Black or African American, above 89% of neighborhoods.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL does.
Why turnout in Oak Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oak Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 14 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Cedar Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- McGirts Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+19
- Wesconnett, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Jacksonville Heights, Jacksonville, FL D+30
- Duclay, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- Duclay Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+32
- Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL D+20
- Ortega Farms, Jacksonville, FL D+11
- Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Argyle Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+5
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Santo Nino, Laredo, TX D+7
- Day Square, Boston, MA D+43
- Downtown Walnut Creek, Walnut Creek, CA D+52
- Bethel Welborn, Kansas City, KS D+41
- Central Business District, Kansas City, MO D+51
- Duboce Triangle, San Francisco, CA D+83
- Zilker, Austin, TX D+45
- Midway-Coldstream, Baltimore, MD D+85
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Mustang-Padre Island, Corpus Christi, TX R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.